Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 9.804355 10.903792 12.087108 13.457244 15.002322 16.693368 18.687894
2025-07-13 8.371248 9.915332 11.697017 13.912745 16.605267 19.784727 23.843668
2025-07-20 7.298446 9.131136 11.378625 14.356565 18.226995 23.125405 29.854992
2025-07-27 6.371536 8.364302 10.943253 14.559924 19.555835 26.294017 36.206255
2025-08-03 5.517569 7.554560 10.318575 14.395484 20.344402 28.846207 42.167168
2025-08-10 4.820273 6.851451 9.726690 14.165359 20.973935 31.237469 48.293697
2025-08-17 4.254114 6.253396 9.193619 13.924876 21.523169 33.558397 54.695273
2025-08-24 3.809649 5.774678 8.767543 13.771945 22.160572 36.081560 61.851058
2025-08-31 3.459097 5.394323 8.439210 13.716724 22.927674 38.906090 70.018373
2025-09-07 3.234954 5.185193 8.352079 14.037138 24.362016 43.079041 81.421436
2025-09-14 2.965061 4.869212 8.048947 13.938680 25.024541 45.938832 90.818834
2025-09-21 2.697491 4.527745 7.662414 13.636634 25.255981 47.998857 98.960417
2025-09-28 2.474701 4.246126 7.358466 13.464241 25.743275 50.704530 109.204039
2025-10-05 2.359811 4.144062 7.364820 13.881090 27.464160 56.228988 127.024547
2025-10-12 2.254544 4.048245 7.371307 14.298085 29.250114 62.210779 147.365949
2025-10-19 2.130567 3.904555 7.270705 14.483859 30.569461 67.391270 167.000518
2025-10-26 1.978603 3.692304 7.013999 14.309865 31.063343 70.745252 182.697733
2025-11-02 1.835812 3.484491 6.744732 14.074665 31.381051 73.731633 198.150725
2025-11-09 1.706464 3.291627 6.486551 13.831757 31.644216 76.630445 214.115897
2025-11-16 1.597655 3.130715 6.278862 13.677351 32.100144 80.112361 232.776439
2025-11-23 1.507229 2.999788 6.121856 13.620889 32.793600 84.360308 255.032561
2025-11-30 1.454905 2.944340 6.122323 13.937721 34.500468 91.743983 289.761704
2025-12-07 1.374232 2.820914 5.960500 13.839347 35.088394 96.038432 315.191893